NCAA Tournament March Madness

#32 St Mary's CA

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Projected seed: 8 (automatic qualifier)

St. Mary’s résumé rests on a pair of neutral-site statement wins over Wichita State and Virginia Tech and a resume-enhancing road victory at Davidson, but a heavy neutral loss at Vanderbilt and a one-possession defeat to Boise State in that same neutral setting are significant blemishes that limit margin for error. The Gaels have defended at a high level while their offense has shown inconsistency, which helps explain why road and neutral results carry extra weight for them. The remainder of the league slate offers clear chances to bolster the profile with quality road wins at San Francisco and Santa Clara and a true test in a trip to Gonzaga plus a rematch at home, while routine home dates against weaker conference foes give them opportunities to steady the ship, so their current placement reflects both the quality of their best victories and the damage from those costly nonconference losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3St Thomas MN139W84-58
11/7Chattanooga240W87-66
11/11Ohio189W90-60
11/14North Texas137W80-49
11/19Arkansas St132W85-72
11/26(N)Wichita St93W70-65
11/27(N)Virginia Tech68W77-66
11/28(N)Vanderbilt8L96-71
12/7@Davidson133W70-61
12/14(N)Boise St52L68-67
12/19FL Atlantic111W88-75
12/22Northern Iowa91W63-58
12/28@Loy Marymount119W78-73
12/30@Pepperdine26693%
1/2Portland23097%
1/4Seattle11288%
1/10Washington St15893%
1/13@San Francisco9868%
1/17@Santa Clara6056%
1/21Oregon St17895%
1/24@Portland23091%
1/31@Gonzaga515%
2/4San Diego19496%
2/7San Francisco9885%
2/11Pepperdine26698%
2/14@Pacific14280%
2/18@Seattle11273%
2/21@Washington St15883%
2/25Santa Clara6076%
2/28Gonzaga532%