NCAA Tournament March Madness

#22 St Mary's CA

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Projected seed: 7

St. Mary's profile is exactly the kind that yields a middling tournament projection because it pairs a lock-down defense and a few resume-defining wins with a handful of damaging setbacks that blunt its upside. The Gaels have signature moments, including a home victory over Gonzaga and neutral-site wins over Wichita State and Virginia Tech, and they have shown they can win away games at places like Washington State and San Francisco. Those highs are offset by a lopsided neutral loss at Vanderbilt, a tight defeat at Boise State and a road loss at Santa Clara that create blemishes the committee will notice. The defensive identity and the Gonzaga win set the ceiling, but inconsistent offense and those bad results keep St. Mary's in a middle tier, with the conference tournament as the clearest remaining route to enhancing its position.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3St Thomas MN104W84-58
11/7Chattanooga299W87-66
11/11Ohio231W90-60
11/14North Texas142W80-49
11/19Arkansas St153W85-72
11/26(N)Wichita St90W70-65
11/27(N)Virginia Tech58W77-66
11/28(N)Vanderbilt15L96-71
12/7@Davidson111W70-61
12/14(N)Boise St57L68-67
12/19FL Atlantic124W88-75
12/22Northern Iowa83W63-58
12/28@Loy Marymount159W78-73
12/30@Pepperdine265W72-45
1/2Portland191W78-57
1/4Seattle114W93-76
1/10Washington St138W88-82
1/13@San Francisco123W82-68
1/17@Santa Clara39L62-54
1/21Oregon St178W81-51
1/24@Portland191W75-69
1/31@Gonzaga11L73-65
2/4San Diego226W87-60
2/7San Francisco123W79-54
2/11Pepperdine265W88-60
2/14@Pacific113W72-61
2/18@Seattle114W72-70
2/21@Washington St138W83-67
2/25Santa Clara39W86-67
2/28Gonzaga11W70-59